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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% -
Log Adjusted 17.1% 82.9% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +27 (75-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Goffredo 36 6-13 1-5 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 14 3 -
D. Housman 35 2-6 0-1 3-3 4 1 1 0 3 7 4 -
M. Beal 34 3-7 0-0 2-3 0 1 1 1 4 8 0 -
M. Stehle 34 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 2 2 8 8 -
B. Cusworth 31 2-4 0-0 3-4 2 2 0 2 1 7 8 -
B. Darcy 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Z. Martin 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Yada 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
B. Unger 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Harris 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Pusar 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Groszyk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lambert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Greenman 38 4-7 3-4 0-0 1 6 0 0 3 11 8 -
J. Conway 35 4-7 2-4 0-0 5 5 5 0 4 10 14 -
K. Koncz 34 9-11 5-6 0-0 6 3 2 0 0 23 23 -
A. Carter 29 0-1 0-0 7-8 5 3 1 0 4 7 11 -
L. Owings 28 3-7 1-2 1-2 7 1 1 0 0 8 10 -
N. Savage 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
M. Strittmatter 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
M. Sargeant 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Ekeruo 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
H. Schaen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Steuerer 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. Briggs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter