Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -21 (39-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.