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2006-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% -
Bradley-Terry 14.1% 85.9% -
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.5% 68.5% -
Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.9% 83.1% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hammick 29 2-5 0-1 4-7 3 1 0 2 1 8 8 -
L. Pattman 28 3-8 2-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 9 5 -
M. Lang 22 4-5 2-2 2-3 1 2 0 0 2 12 8 -
J. Ball 22 1-4 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
C. Flynn 19 3-4 0-0 0-1 2 2 1 0 1 6 6 -
D. Biber 18 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 9 5 -
J. Meyer 16 3-4 2-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 9 -
A. Barnett 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 3 5 -
M. Giovacchini 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
P. Bode 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Mosley 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. McMillan 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Mathis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Conway 40 6-11 0-1 5-5 7 3 1 0 2 17 15 -
S. Greenman 40 7-11 2-3 6-6 2 1 1 0 0 22 15 -
N. Savage 36 0-4 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
L. Owings 28 5-8 2-3 5-7 6 1 1 0 0 17 17 -
A. Carter 24 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
K. Koncz 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Strittmatter 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter