Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.