Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +28 (82-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.