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2006-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 81.3% 18.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% -
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Harris 37 7-10 0-0 2-3 8 2 1 2 5 16 14 -
J. Carroll 35 6-11 6-9 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 18 13 -
D. Pak 28 2-6 1-3 1-2 3 5 0 0 3 6 5 -
C. McGowen 23 5-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 10 0 -
C. Spicer 20 5-7 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 13 8 -
D. Peterson 18 0-1 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 -
C. Session 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
A. Holmes 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
N. Hammer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Karl 37 7-15 4-7 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 19 5 -
E. Lane 33 3-15 1-7 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 8 -3 -
K. Lloyd 29 4-8 0-1 0-0 11 0 2 2 1 8 14 -
K. Cunningham 28 5-6 0-0 0-1 3 5 1 0 0 10 13 -
M. Bauscher 25 2-7 2-4 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 7 2 -
T. Banks 19 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
K. Wilson 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 0 1 -
T. Tiedeman 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Thompson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Robinson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter