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2006-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% -
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.3% 24.7% -
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% -

Actual: USC Trojans -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks 39 7-10 4-5 2-2 3 4 1 0 0 20 18 -
M. Hairston 38 6-11 3-4 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 18 10 -
C. Oguchi 35 3-10 2-8 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
J. Kent 30 3-7 0-1 0-1 7 1 1 1 3 6 6 -
I. Johnson 18 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 2 0 0 2 4 2 -
R. Schafer 16 6-8 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 1 13 8 -
M. Leunen 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
B. Lincoln 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Zahn 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Betz-White 37 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
R. Francis 37 7-10 2-3 2-5 3 3 1 0 0 18 15 -
N. Young 35 5-12 1-2 3-4 7 1 1 0 2 14 9 -
S. Odzic 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Ndiaye 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 4 5 6 2 -
D. Shackleford 23 4-9 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 10 4 -
K. Wilkinson 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Barr 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Cromwell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Gaudino 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter