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2006-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% -
Margin 16.7% 83.3% +8.8 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 17.2% 82.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Dewitz * 31 6-12 2-4 0-0 4 6 1 2 4 14 11 -
S. Cuic * 26 3-8 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 -2 -
C. Stephens * 23 4-9 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 1 -
K. Jeffers * 18 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 -1 -
B. Casey * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Jones 29 5-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
J. Fontenet 28 4-6 2-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 10 11 -
W. Washington 18 3-5 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
J. McGillis 11 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Tsagarakis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 32 6-11 4-7 4-4 2 2 1 1 3 20 12 -
J. Farmar * 30 8-13 4-7 1-1 2 4 0 0 2 21 12 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 29 3-4 0-1 3-3 4 4 0 0 3 9 10 -
C. Bozeman * 24 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Fey * 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 1 3 -
R. Hollins 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
D. Collison 15 3-4 1-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 9 9 -
M. Roll 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Aboya 13 1-1 0-0 3-5 5 1 1 0 0 5 11 -
R. Wright 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Rubin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Kim 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter