Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +20 (69-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hinnant | 25 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Rouse | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Ingram | 21 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Captain | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Hart | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McNeil | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Beale | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. King | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Hammonds | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Gagnon | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| W. O'Neil | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| N. Mattone | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Robinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Q. Goods | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Peppers | 26 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| A. Williams | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Rose | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| D. Noel | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. O'Donnell | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| L. Payne | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Gill | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jj Taylor | 14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Speraw | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter