Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.0% | 19.0% | -8.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +5 (51-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walters | 36 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| B. Harden | 32 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Danridge | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Collins | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Toppert | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Hart | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Box | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Walter | 4 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Faris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood | 40 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. McCraw | 39 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 34 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Frye | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 32 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Anderson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Holum | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter