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2006-02-22

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 33.1% 66.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.2% 25.8% -
Log Adjusted 74.3% 25.7% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +10 (100-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. LeSure 38 6-17 2-10 0-1 3 5 1 0 1 14 5 -
R. Williams 35 8-12 1-2 2-3 4 2 4 0 2 19 15 -
M. Abukar 33 7-15 2-3 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 20 11 -
M. Slaughter 30 4-12 0-0 7-11 12 3 2 0 9 15 11 -
J. Sharper 26 1-6 1-5 5-5 2 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
K. Spain 20 4-7 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 1 2 10 9 -
M. Camara 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
B. Hudson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Balderson 31 5-8 2-2 5-7 6 4 0 1 0 17 20 -
K. Young 29 9-14 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 2 3 20 13 -
T. Plaisted 29 6-12 0-0 2-5 7 2 0 1 2 14 10 -
B. Reichner 23 4-5 0-1 4-5 3 4 0 0 2 12 12 -
R. Broadus 22 2-5 1-2 2-2 5 4 2 0 5 7 8 -
F. Malaman 20 4-7 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
A. Ainge 18 6-6 4-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 16 16 -
L. Cummard 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
M. Rose 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Dawes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter