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2006-02-22

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Tulsa Golden Hurricane Spread Result
Elo 55.6% 44.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.7% 58.3% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 54.7% 45.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -

Actual: Tulsa Golden Hurricane +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Fall * 33 0-4 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 6 3 0 7 -
B. Hopkins * 31 4-12 1-4 5-6 6 1 0 0 3 14 6 -
D. Pearson * 31 3-11 0-2 3-4 7 2 0 0 0 9 7 -
D. Willingham * 19 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
I. Ofoegbu * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
D. Roberts 28 3-8 0-2 5-6 2 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
D. Rackauskas 20 1-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
B. Epps 11 5-9 1-2 2-3 1 0 1 0 1 13 5 -
J. Killen 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wallace * 34 2-7 2-6 0-0 5 3 1 1 0 6 9 -
B. McDade * 32 4-9 0-1 3-4 3 6 3 0 1 11 13 -
D. Crow * 31 4-11 2-4 2-2 4 4 1 3 0 12 13 -
C. Ramsdell * 22 2-4 2-3 3-4 6 1 0 1 1 9 12 -
S. Mitchell * 17 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
A. Price 23 7-8 0-0 1-4 5 1 2 2 2 15 15 -
B. Wheatley 17 1-2 0-0 2-4 5 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
R. Reese 14 3-5 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 9 8 -
D. James 8 2-3 1-2 0-1 2 0 2 0 2 5 4 -
A. Hanson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Young 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter