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2006-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% -
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% -
Margin 8.4% 91.6% +13.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 19.7% 80.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.0% 96.0% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Moss 38 5-14 2-5 2-3 7 6 1 1 4 14 11 -
G. Moore 35 7-9 3-4 0-0 2 3 3 0 6 17 10 -
A. Arnold 32 1-6 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 2 2 7 -
T. Schnitker 32 6-10 4-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 16 12 -
T. Wurtz 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 0 6 -
E. Gray 14 3-6 0-0 1-1 0 1 1 0 2 7 1 -
J. Tunnell 14 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
M. Yelovich 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Evans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Trudeau 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mathies 39 4-8 3-6 7-9 5 4 7 0 5 18 21 -
N. Porter 31 4-11 1-3 5-7 8 2 1 0 3 14 11 -
P. Hibma 28 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
A. Tolliver 28 5-14 0-1 5-7 5 2 2 1 2 15 9 -
J. Day 26 2-5 0-0 1-1 4 2 1 2 2 5 7 -
D. Bishop 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Watts 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Motz 12 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
B. Nengsu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter