๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2006-05-30

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 โœ“ (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +21 (91-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 34 8-16 3-6 1-1 3 3 3 0 2 20 11 -
Shameka Christon * 28 4-9 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 12 7 -
Loree Moore * 27 2-5 0-1 2-2 6 6 0 0 2 6 11 -
Kelly Schumacher * 26 5-8 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 2 4 13 12 -
Barbara Farris * 25 3-8 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld 21 3-8 0-2 2-4 4 1 0 1 1 8 5 -
Erin Thorn 14 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 1 -
Sherill Baker 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Iciss Tillis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Ashley Battle 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anna DeForge * 23 5-8 4-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 14 10 -
Tamika Whitmore * 22 8-14 1-1 5-5 2 3 0 1 1 22 13 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 20 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 5 2 0 1 0 5 -
Tamika Catchings * 20 1-7 0-2 5-5 6 0 2 1 0 7 9 -
Ebony Hoffman * 14 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 4 2 -
Tan White 23 10-15 3-4 2-2 3 2 1 1 1 25 16 -
K.B. Sharp 19 1-4 1-2 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 5 3 -
Olympia Scott 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
La'Tangela Atkinson 15 0-4 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
Linda Frohlich 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 4 8 -
Charlotte Smith 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter