Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 36 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 6 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 35 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. Slater | 32 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| R. Delk | 30 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Delk | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Boler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Morgan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. LeMelle | 37 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Barber | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 28 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Hayles | 27 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| R. Barrett | 23 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 9-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| M. Edun | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Jackson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Cameron | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter