Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cage | 40 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Doellman | 37 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Duncan | 33 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Finn | 32 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Burrell | 28 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Wolf | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Caudle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 37 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| W. Williams | 36 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| N. Plummer | 27 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| M. Bennett | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Little | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Scott | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. White | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Cripe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter