Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | -8.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.9% | 31.1% | -4.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +4 (66-62). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Cage | 40 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Justin Doellman | 37 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Josh Duncan | 33 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Dedrick Finn | 32 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Stanley Burrell | 28 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Johnny Wolf | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Will Caudle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Roberts | 37 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Warren Williams | 36 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Norman Plummer | 27 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Marques Bennett | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Little | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Chris Alvarez | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Monty Scott | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. White | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| James Cripe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter