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2006-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 44.8% 55.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% -
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 77.4% 22.6% -
Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.7% 6.3% -
Log Adjusted 93.8% 6.2% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tatum 33 5-14 1-5 4-4 3 2 2 0 5 15 3 -
B. Mullins 33 1-5 0-0 3-4 3 4 4 0 6 5 5 -
M. Shaw 32 2-8 1-3 2-2 10 2 1 0 1 7 11 -
T. Young 29 6-13 3-9 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 15 5 -
R. Falker 25 3-7 0-0 2-8 7 2 1 2 0 8 13 -
W. Clemmons 19 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
J. Foster 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 0 3 -
A. Brooks 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
T. Boyle 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Webster 34 9-16 0-0 8-9 8 1 1 0 6 26 14 -
B. Strickland 33 7-9 0-0 5-8 8 3 0 3 2 19 22 -
K. Anslinger 32 2-8 2-6 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 6 6 -
J. Holsinger 30 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 5 0 0 3 1 2 -
S. Ely 29 1-3 0-0 6-8 4 2 0 0 2 8 9 -
A. Stalbergs 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 0 -1 -
M. Blakey 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Petty 7 1-2 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Phifer 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
V. Gomez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter