Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.0% | 44.0% | -1.3 | ✗ (28.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +27 (105-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 26 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 18 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tamicha Jackson | 20 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 16 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Ann Strother | 16 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Mandisa Stevenson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 19 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 18 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kim Smith | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou | 16 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brittany Wilkins | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
* = starter