Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +27 (105-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 19 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Miller | 16 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 16 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Pettis | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| B. Snell | 15 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 15 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Stevenson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Jackson | 10 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| J. Lacy | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Strother | 5 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Griffith | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| N. Powell | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Brunson | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 19 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Lawson | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Smith | 9 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| E. Buescher | 7 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
* = starter