Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Steele * | 40 | 9-14 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 16 | - |
| R. Hendrix * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Brock * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Davidson * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Hollinger * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Felix | 31 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Gee | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne * | 40 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Modica * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| E. Ferguson * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Hill * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| C. Thomas * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Townes | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| V. Hunter | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter