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Santa Clara Broncos 83
@
San Francisco Dons 78
2006-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 62.3% 37.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 93.3% 6.7% - ✓
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -47.4 ✓ (42.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - ✓
Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 40.6% 59.4% - ✗

Actual: San Francisco Dons -5 (78-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Niesen 38 10-19 1-1 10-12 9 3 0 0 2 31 22 -
S. Denison 32 2-6 0-1 2-6 7 0 1 2 2 6 8 -
B. Rohe 30 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 5 5 2 -
B. Angley 25 2-5 2-3 2-2 3 6 0 0 2 8 10 -
M. Henke 24 2-2 0-0 4-4 3 2 1 1 2 8 11 -
D. Daniel 19 7-9 2-2 1-2 2 2 2 1 0 17 15 -
C. Johnson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Burke 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Bryant 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 7 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Surratt 39 7-20 3-7 4-6 3 3 2 0 2 21 7 -
N. Pierce 36 5-14 0-0 3-4 11 3 0 1 3 13 11 -
J. Gumbs 31 2-6 0-2 1-2 4 4 2 0 0 5 9 -
D. Shiller 27 8-13 5-9 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 23 13 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 24 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 3 1 6 10 -
D. Cavic 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 4 -
D. Ingerson 11 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -
J. Byrd 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
V. Polakovic 8 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter