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2006-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 98.3% 1.7% -
Bradley-Terry 91.7% 8.3% -
Margin 95.4% 4.6% -16.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 73.0% 27.0% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Log Adjusted 93.0% 7.0% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -10 (71-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morrison * 37 7-17 1-6 11-17 5 1 2 0 3 26 14 -
J.P. Batista * 34 6-14 0-1 4-5 13 2 0 1 3 16 15 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 33 5-6 4-5 3-4 3 4 0 0 2 17 16 -
D. Raivio * 33 3-7 2-4 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 12 9 -
S. Mallon * 24 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Pendergraft 14 0-1 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
J. Heytvelt 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
J. Pargo 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 1 6 -
L. Gurganious 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
E. Knight 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Forehan-Kelly * 40 8-16 3-7 6-8 7 1 3 1 3 25 18 -
G. Barlow * 31 3-12 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 7 -3 -
R. Hicks * 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
C. Roush * 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 4 6 -
J. Henry * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 2 2 7 -
K. Costain 22 3-10 3-8 3-6 4 1 1 0 0 12 8 -
D. Grubb 21 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 2 2 2 -1 -
C. Oakes 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
W. Galick 7 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
C. Horning 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Pranciliauskas 4 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 4 -

* = starter