Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.3 | ✗ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -19 (58-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| S. Cash | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Nolan | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. Riley | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Holland-Corn | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Ford | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| P. Pierson | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Braxton | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Batteast | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Z. Teilane | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carey | 25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Willingham | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 22 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| J. Brungo | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Jones | 20 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Phillips | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Loffhagen | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Cronin | 15 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Coker | 15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter