Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Vaden * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| E. Calloway * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Strickland * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Killingsworth * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| L. Monroe * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Wilmont | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Allen | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Kline | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Suhr | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Randle * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Brown * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. McBride * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| W. Carter | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. Frazier | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| M. Arnold | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter