Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.0% | 24.0% | -6.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -11 (72-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| R. Terry * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Noel * | 23 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| W. Miller * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Sanders | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 14 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gray * | 35 | 7-23 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | - |
| T. Strickland * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| E. Williams * | 30 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| M. Drum * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Swinton * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| H. Hale | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Ellis | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Visser | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Stanley | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter