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2006-02-19

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 81.8% 18.2% -14.7 โœ— (17.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 77.3% 22.7% - โœ—
Margin 75.3% 24.7% -6.1 โœ— (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 88.6% 11.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 63.7% 36.3% - โœ—

Actual: USC Trojans +3 (71-68). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 35 7-14 2-5 3-6 4 1 0 0 1 19 9 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 32 3-8 0-1 2-2 10 0 0 0 3 8 7 -
Jordan Farmar * 31 7-17 4-7 3-4 3 5 2 2 3 21 13 -
Cedric Bozeman * 28 1-3 0-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 3 6 -
R. Hollins * 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Darren Collison 18 2-8 2-4 1-3 1 0 1 0 2 7 -1 -
Alfred Aboya 16 2-2 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
Michael Roll 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 3 -
Ryan Wright 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Young * 40 6-14 0-3 3-4 6 2 1 0 3 15 7 -
A. Betz-White * 36 5-11 2-4 1-2 1 2 2 0 0 13 7 -
Sead Odzic * 33 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 7 6 -
Abdoulaye Ndiaye * 31 4-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 4 3 10 11 -
Ryan Francis * 30 4-6 0-0 4-6 4 2 1 0 1 12 12 -
Dwayne Shackleford 21 4-4 0-0 4-5 1 3 2 1 4 12 11 -
Jeremy Barr 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter