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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 78.9% 21.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% -
Margin 63.0% 37.0% -2.9 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sparks * 33 8-11 6-8 4-4 1 4 2 0 3 26 19 -
B. Perry * 22 4-6 0-1 3-3 3 3 0 1 0 11 12 -
B. Stockton * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
R. Moss * 20 1-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
L. Obrzut * 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
R. Morris 29 6-9 0-0 1-2 11 0 2 1 2 13 16 -
J. Crawford 20 5-9 1-3 1-2 2 3 1 2 1 12 10 -
R. Rondo 18 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
S. Thomas 16 2-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
R. Bradley 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 -
J. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Adetula 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Sims 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. LeMaster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kinsey * 38 9-20 0-5 3-3 6 3 2 1 0 21 13 -
B. Wallace * 36 3-8 0-2 1-1 5 3 1 2 1 7 9 -
C. Goree * 34 4-14 3-9 0-0 5 3 0 1 6 11 0 -
R. Balkman * 24 2-4 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
D. Day * 17 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 5 1 -
R. Trice 24 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
B. Sheldon 14 2-3 2-3 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
A. Tisby 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 6 3 -

* = starter