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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% -
Efficiency 92.0% 8.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -5 (76-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 35 7-15 3-6 1-2 5 9 0 0 3 18 14 -
D. Wilson 33 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 9 4 -
D. Cooper 31 9-19 3-9 3-5 3 3 1 0 0 24 12 -
B. Sullivan 29 3-5 1-2 1-2 7 1 0 1 3 8 9 -
K. Field 25 4-7 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
B. McTear 16 1-2 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
J. Jones 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
A. Tiefenthaler 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
J. Dominguez 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Averette 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Watson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Griffin 34 9-15 2-6 1-3 7 3 1 0 1 21 16 -
G. Barlow 31 3-12 0-2 0-0 5 7 0 0 2 6 4 -
R. Hicks 26 5-11 0-0 1-1 4 0 2 1 1 11 6 -
T. Forehan-Kelly 24 5-9 1-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 3 14 4 -
C. Oakes 22 2-2 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 1 2 4 7 -
T. Pranciliauskas 17 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
W. Galick 17 3-6 1-1 4-6 5 0 0 0 0 11 10 -
M. Lea 10 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 2 2 0 0 1 5 -
J. Henry 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Costain 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Grubb 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Horning 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter