Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. James | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| K. Swanston | 31 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| R. Barbosa | 30 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J. Belfor | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Freeman | 25 | 6-12 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Cooper | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Lampley | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| G. Chami | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Posey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Giles | 40 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 25 | - |
| M. Sumter | 39 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| C. Morgan | 33 | 5-15 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| L. Barrett | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Smith | 29 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Williams | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| H. Pistoljevic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Kosmo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter