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Dayton Flyers 71
@
La Salle Explorers 74
2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers La Salle Explorers Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.9% 74.1% - ✓
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +5.0 ✓ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 39.0% 61.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% - ✓

Actual: La Salle Explorers +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Roberts 35 9-19 4-7 2-3 1 4 4 0 2 24 12 -
W. Williams 35 3-4 0-1 5-6 2 3 0 0 3 11 9 -
C. Little 29 4-10 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
C. Alvarez 25 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 6 8 -
J. Binnie 23 1-4 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
N. Plummer 22 4-8 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
M. Scott 16 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 2 4 -
M. Bennett 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
D. Adedeji 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

La Salle Explorers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Smith 38 6-12 2-4 11-13 8 3 1 0 2 25 23 -
D. Harris 37 6-11 4-9 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 16 10 -
J. Thomas 37 6-14 2-7 3-4 3 5 2 0 4 17 9 -
M. St. John 26 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 4 6 -
S. Diaz 21 3-5 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 2 0 9 10 -
P. Johnson 19 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 0 3 1 5 -
L. Fadipe 15 1-2 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
S. Neal 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
R. Cunningham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter