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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Kent State Golden Flashes Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.7% 42.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“

Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Polk * 41 9-17 0-0 3-5 6 2 0 1 5 21 8 -
B. Horan * 41 4-10 4-10 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 12 2 -
A.J. Graves * 38 4-8 2-5 3-4 2 4 0 0 3 13 8 -
A. Sheets * 38 5-11 3-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 13 5 -
B. Crone * 38 4-10 1-4 3-4 9 5 5 0 1 12 20 -
J. Betko 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
B. Ligon 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Streicher 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Kent State Golden Flashes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Youngblood * 41 8-10 3-3 6-7 4 2 0 0 2 25 19 -
D. Haynes * 39 3-6 3-5 5-8 3 5 3 0 5 14 14 -
A. Gates * 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
N. Gerwig * 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
M. Scott 43 6-9 0-1 5-6 15 0 0 1 3 17 21 -
O. Smith 36 6-12 2-6 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 14 10 -
K. Warzynski 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 4 -3 -
I. Knight 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
J. Mincy 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter