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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 72.8% 27.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% -
Margin 62.2% 37.8% -2.7 (4.7 off)
Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ingram 38 5-10 1-4 2-4 5 2 1 2 5 13 8 -
K. Howell 32 5-13 3-7 4-5 6 1 0 2 1 17 12 -
K. Payne 32 2-8 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 6 -1 -
J. Amos 28 5-7 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 2 11 9 -
F. Valencia 24 5-7 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 1 1 11 6 -
J. Young 23 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 0 5 9 -
A. Currie 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
S. Villegas 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Kent 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Cotton 39 9-17 2-4 4-4 2 3 3 0 4 24 11 -
J. Goode 35 3-12 1-3 0-0 3 6 3 1 2 7 6 -
B. Green 32 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
C. Bailey 32 5-11 0-0 4-8 5 0 0 2 4 14 6 -
T. Baker 31 4-9 0-1 4-5 10 2 2 0 1 12 16 -
E. Shaw 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
M. Abdur-Rahim 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Everingham 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
C. Hayes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter