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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 39.0% 61.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“
Margin 25.9% 74.1% +5.8 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carnegie Johnson 38 1-7 0-1 0-2 3 3 2 0 3 2 0 -
G. Sprink 36 9-15 3-7 4-4 5 1 1 0 3 25 14 -
T. Keane 31 4-7 0-0 2-3 1 0 2 2 3 10 5 -
K. Kina 25 1-9 0-4 4-4 5 4 2 0 2 6 6 -
A. Teague 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
C. Reed 15 1-4 0-0 6-6 5 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
B. Brigham 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
L. Green 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Baldwin 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Hooper 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Colbert 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Reed 31 3-8 2-5 0-0 5 4 1 0 6 8 4 -
J. Simon 28 3-9 2-5 4-6 3 1 1 0 0 12 8 -
K. Chones 23 5-9 0-0 3-6 5 1 0 1 3 13 8 -
J. Foss 22 3-5 1-1 4-8 5 1 0 2 1 11 13 -
D. Gentile 22 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Roemer 20 1-10 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
K. Chones 17 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 2 3 -
M. Daniels 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
T. Checovich 15 3-4 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 10 10 -
T. Vinson 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 2 4 -

* = starter