🐻⬇️🏀

@
2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% -
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% -
Log Adjusted 64.4% 35.6% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +13 (92-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton * 36 7-15 6-8 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 22 13 -
M. Wingate * 28 2-6 0-0 1-4 5 2 0 0 5 5 1 -
D. Bradshaw * 24 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 5 5 -
C.J. Watson 36 4-12 0-3 5-5 2 2 2 0 2 13 5 -
A. Patterson 30 6-14 0-1 3-6 7 1 2 1 4 15 8 -
S. Asumnu 20 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 8 9 -
J. Smith 17 4-10 3-8 0-2 1 1 1 0 0 11 4 -
R. Childress 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Howell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele * 40 6-11 1-5 9-9 5 9 1 0 6 22 20 -
J. Davidson * 39 6-12 0-0 5-5 14 3 4 2 0 17 28 -
R. Hendrix * 31 5-7 0-0 6-8 10 0 0 1 2 16 18 -
B. Hollinger * 20 2-2 1-1 4-4 0 2 0 0 4 9 5 -
E. Brock * 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 2 4 -
J. Felix 29 4-12 2-10 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 12 3 -
A. Gee 21 5-7 2-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 3 14 7 -

* = starter