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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% -
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -6 (64-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Atsur * 38 5-7 4-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 3 14 12 -
T. Bethel * 37 6-11 6-9 1-2 4 2 1 1 4 19 12 -
C. Bennerman * 37 7-15 2-9 10-10 5 5 0 1 3 26 19 -
C. Simmons * 31 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 6 2 6 10 -
A. Brackman * 17 0-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
G. Grant 30 1-5 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
B. McCauley 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Fells 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon * 39 5-12 0-2 1-2 4 3 6 2 1 11 13 -
Z. Dowdell * 32 4-16 0-3 2-2 3 5 1 1 0 10 4 -
D. Washington * 27 4-9 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 9 1 -
A. Green * 25 7-15 0-0 1-2 11 0 0 1 1 15 11 -
A.D. Vassallo 30 2-7 0-3 3-3 6 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
M. Sailes 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
C. Diakite 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
W. Witherspoon 15 2-7 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 2 -

* = starter