Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -3.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +14 (65-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.