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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Log Adjusted 35.3% 64.7% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Dean * 40 4-15 3-10 10-10 6 5 1 0 1 21 17 -
T. Laudermill * 26 2-6 1-3 4-4 2 2 1 0 4 9 4 -
D. Padgett * 22 3-6 0-0 5-5 6 1 1 1 3 11 11 -
T. Williams * 21 1-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
J. Palacios * 11 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
B. Harvey 20 1-4 1-4 2-2 6 0 1 1 1 5 8 -
B. Johnson 18 2-4 0-0 3-5 3 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
C. Millard 14 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 -1 -
A. McGee 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
P. Johnson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Gianiny 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Farley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Huffman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McNamara * 38 10-16 4-9 6-7 6 5 4 0 5 30 24 -
T. Roberts * 24 1-1 0-0 1-7 8 4 3 2 3 3 16 -
E. Devendorf * 23 6-7 2-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 4 14 10 -
D. Nichols * 20 2-6 1-4 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 5 -1 -
D. Watkins * 19 1-1 0-0 1-4 5 0 1 2 1 3 9 -
L. McCroskey 20 2-3 1-1 1-5 3 1 0 0 2 6 5 -
J. Wright 20 1-4 0-2 5-8 0 2 1 0 3 7 3 -
M. Gorman 19 2-4 0-1 3-6 5 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
A. Onuaku 17 1-2 0-0 2-7 5 1 0 2 0 4 10 -

* = starter