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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% -
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% -
Margin 73.5% 26.5% -5.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 67.0% 33.0% -
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Log Adjusted 81.5% 18.5% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +1 (65-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Greenman 40 5-9 3-5 4-4 1 2 4 0 1 17 14 -
N. Savage 33 3-10 2-6 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 8 1 -
K. Koncz 33 2-7 1-6 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 5 3 -
L. Owings 32 6-11 1-5 1-1 6 0 1 0 4 14 6 -
A. Carter 30 2-3 0-1 1-1 1 4 2 0 1 5 8 -
J. Conway 26 5-6 1-1 2-2 1 5 2 0 1 13 14 -
M. Strittmatter 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
N. Levine 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 35 2-3 0-0 11-12 6 1 0 0 4 15 15 -
B. Loscalzo 33 4-5 4-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 12 10 -
J. Armstrong 27 6-7 1-2 2-3 4 2 1 1 2 15 14 -
M. Montgomery 22 1-1 1-1 6-6 3 0 0 1 5 9 7 -
A. Peeples 21 2-3 1-2 1-3 1 2 1 0 0 6 7 -
K. Sweet 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
B. Nwachukwu 18 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
K.J. Matsui 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
D. Cuff 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -

* = starter