Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Harvard Crimson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard Crimson -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Martin | 31 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| E. Flato | 31 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| C. Hughes | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Holmes | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Kaplan | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Morin | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Pinick | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Holmes | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Kyle | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Andrews | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stehle | 37 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Cusworth | 37 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| J. Goffredo | 35 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Beal | 34 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Housman | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Z. Martin | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Darcy | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Yada | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter