Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Reynolds * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. Cain * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Joseph * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Singletary * | 27 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Bannister | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Diane | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Campbell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rich * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| C. Webb * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - |
| A. Thornton * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 28 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| I. Swann * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Wilson | 33 | 7-11 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| R. Mims | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Romero | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Allen | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| U. Echefu | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter