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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% -
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% -
Log Adjusted 69.4% 30.6% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Adams 33 6-10 2-2 7-7 5 2 2 0 3 21 17 -
C. Terry 32 4-6 1-1 2-2 3 4 0 1 1 11 12 -
L. Amundson 31 8-16 0-0 6-9 5 1 3 1 2 22 14 -
J. Petrimoulx 26 3-8 2-4 0-0 0 5 2 0 5 8 2 -
D. Villepigue 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
W. White 18 1-3 0-0 1-1 8 1 1 0 2 3 8 -
R. Morgan 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 5 6 -
J. Darger 14 2-3 2-3 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
G. Essengue 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Rougeau 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lewis 33 4-11 0-3 1-2 2 4 2 0 2 9 4 -
M. Harrison 33 7-11 0-0 2-3 7 3 2 3 2 16 18 -
J. Smith 32 8-15 0-0 8-8 12 3 1 4 4 24 25 -
F. Robinson 26 5-7 1-1 3-6 2 1 0 0 1 14 9 -
S. Morris 23 2-7 1-5 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 7 1 -
S. Creason 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
A. Patterson 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
S. Gilling 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Morris 7 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
C. Harris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter