Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams | 33 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| C. Terry | 32 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| L. Amundson | 31 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| J. Petrimoulx | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Villepigue | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. White | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| R. Morgan | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Darger | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Essengue | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lewis | 33 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Harrison | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Smith | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 25 | - |
| F. Robinson | 26 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Morris | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. Creason | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Patterson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Gilling | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Morris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter