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2006-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 64.9% 35.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -
Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% -
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green * 44 6-14 6-11 2-2 2 4 0 0 6 20 6 -
A. Horford * 34 5-11 0-0 0-0 11 1 2 4 3 10 14 -
J. Noah * 27 5-7 0-0 6-7 9 0 1 0 1 16 18 -
W. Hodge * 27 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 7 4 -
C. Brewer * 22 4-8 1-4 2-3 5 2 0 0 2 11 8 -
L. Humphrey 35 2-11 2-10 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 6 -2 -
C. Richard 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 2 4 7 -
A. Moss 13 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
D. Huertas 7 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Modica * 43 6-17 3-9 7-9 7 3 1 1 1 22 16 -
J. Payne * 37 7-16 2-6 8-13 3 4 2 1 2 24 16 -
C. Thomas * 28 2-3 0-1 6-8 3 2 2 0 3 10 11 -
S. Hill * 28 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 2 1 3 7 -
D. Jefferson * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Ferguson 38 4-11 3-6 1-4 6 4 3 0 6 12 8 -
D. Townes 19 1-8 0-0 1-4 7 2 0 2 1 3 5 -
V. Hunter 14 4-4 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 11 10 -
S. McCurdy 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. McGowan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter