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2006-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Albany Great Danes VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wilson 40 9-17 4-7 6-7 7 1 0 0 6 28 13 -
L. Jordan 30 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
B. Wilson 29 7-11 3-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 17 12 -
B. Lillis 28 1-4 0-1 4-4 1 3 0 1 3 6 4 -
K. Zoellner 28 2-5 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 2 4 5 8 -
L. Levine 24 0-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 3 4 2 -
J. Siggers 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Iati 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Covington 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. George 35 9-15 3-6 2-2 1 4 1 0 0 23 14 -
A. Harper 28 4-6 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
J. Shuler 25 4-6 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 1 1 9 7 -
B.A. Walker 22 2-5 1-3 4-4 1 1 1 1 1 9 7 -
J. Pellot-Rosa 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
E. Davis 18 4-8 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 3 4 8 -1 -
S. Faulk 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Maynor 17 2-2 0-0 5-6 1 1 3 0 2 9 10 -
M. Anderson 15 0-2 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 0 2 1 5 -
J. Capel 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter