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2006-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.2 (22.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jeppesen 38 6-11 0-2 5-11 4 4 3 0 5 17 12 -
D. Huffman 35 4-9 1-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 13 6 -
C. Skrelja 28 8-11 3-4 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 19 19 -
M. Becker 28 1-4 0-2 3-4 1 6 1 0 3 5 6 -
M. McAndrew 21 3-7 1-4 4-6 2 4 1 0 1 11 10 -
N. Eads 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 6 7 -
M. MacDonald 19 1-3 1-1 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 4 6 -
S. Friske 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
P.J. Flaherty 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Goffredo 39 7-16 2-7 2-2 4 4 2 0 4 18 8 -
B. Cusworth 33 4-8 0-1 5-6 11 1 0 1 3 13 15 -
M. Stehle 33 6-15 0-2 4-6 8 2 1 1 4 16 9 -
D. Housman 33 2-6 1-1 2-4 0 2 0 0 1 7 2 -
M. Beal 30 1-6 1-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 1 -
Z. Martin 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 3 5 -
B. Darcy 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
B. Unger 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
K. Yada 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter