Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.