Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 40 | 9-18 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 9 | - |
| J. Sharper | 29 | 7-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| R. Williams | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Abukar | 27 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Thomas | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Camara | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| B. Hudson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams | 38 | 6-18 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. Petrimoulx | 33 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Terry | 32 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| W. White | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Amundson | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Villepigue | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| R. Morgan | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| G. Essengue | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Darger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter