Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -9 (73-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 37 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Bazy | 35 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Golob | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Sir | 22 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 20 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Landry | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| W. Hensley | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Seckold | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson | 36 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Edmonds | 35 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| M. Moss | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| A. Beye | 28 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| C. Durham | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wilson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Morris | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Ball | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Durr | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter