Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Lafayette | 40 | 4-16 | 3-9 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| L. Smith | 38 | 9-12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 21 | - |
| R. Dyer | 36 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Latham | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | - |
| J. Thorpe | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| S. Anderson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Lawson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Brannon | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. de Randamie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Williams | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Peppers | 27 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| J. Taylor | 25 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Johnson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Noel | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Rose | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Payne | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Gill | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter