Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +16 (63-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Williams * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Doyle * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Cote * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Hachad | 30 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Carson | 26 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Jenkins | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Seacat | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| P. Houlihan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hoeveler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Melchior | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Ross | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Randle * | 37 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 37 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| R. McBride * | 34 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Brown * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| W. Carter | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Frazier | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Arnold | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Brock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter