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2006-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 8.8% 91.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +2 (47-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ewing 40 1-10 0-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 3 -6 -
D. Wabbington 32 2-4 0-0 0-2 5 0 2 0 2 4 5 -
J. Williams 32 4-8 0-0 1-2 18 0 1 0 6 9 14 -
S. Leven 31 4-14 3-9 6-6 2 1 2 0 5 17 3 -
B. Jones 31 3-8 0-0 4-6 7 2 2 0 1 10 12 -
C. Anderson 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Lewis 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
J. Ebert 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Walters 38 4-10 1-3 3-5 5 3 3 0 6 12 7 -
K. Collins 36 3-6 0-0 1-3 4 3 1 1 1 7 9 -
D. Chiotti 30 5-8 0-0 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 11 9 -
T. Danridge 25 2-4 0-0 1-5 2 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Box 19 1-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 2 1 3 4 -
K. Prochaska 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
C. Toppert 14 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
B. Harden 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Kersten 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Walter 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Faris 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter