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2006-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 14.6% 85.4% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.3% 67.7% -
Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morrow * 34 9-20 3-8 1-1 4 3 0 0 2 22 7 -
T. Tarver * 32 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 3 2 2 8 -
R. Dickey * 17 4-5 0-0 5-7 2 0 0 0 3 13 7 -
M. West * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 -
L. Clinch * 15 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
Z. Fredrick 32 6-12 3-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 5 15 6 -
J. Smith 23 4-4 0-0 0-3 6 1 1 1 0 8 13 -
D. Bell 20 1-4 1-1 4-6 1 3 2 0 0 7 9 -
A. Aminu 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
P. Diaw 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Noel * 36 5-8 0-1 1-2 3 6 2 0 5 11 9 -
T. Hansbrough * 32 13-17 0-0 14-19 10 1 1 0 1 40 34 -
B. Frasor * 28 0-4 0-2 1-2 2 8 2 0 3 1 6 -
W. Miller * 28 2-9 2-8 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 0 -
R. Terry * 28 5-9 1-3 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 13 7 -
M. Ginyard 13 0-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Green 12 2-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Q. Thomas 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 3 2 0 1 3 8 -
B. Sanders 11 0-0 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -

* = starter